Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.37%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.