Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Aug 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion FK Minsk

FC Minsk
1 - 0
Naftan

Tamelo (81' og.)
Tumanov (29'), Martynov (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sidor (61'), Kurlovich (69')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between FC Minsk and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Minsk

All competitions
Last Game: FC Minsk 0-1 Slutsk
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 4-0 Energetik-BGU
Friday, August 18 at 3.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Minsk in this match.

Result
FC MinskDrawNaftan
54.91% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.81% (-0.035 -0.04)21.28% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.076999999999998 0.08)49.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.067 0.07)71.56% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
FC Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (0.062999999999988 0.06)17.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28% (0.106 0.11)48.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)37.77% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Minsk 54.9%
    Naftan 21.28%
    Draw 23.81%
FC MinskDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.74% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 54.9%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 4
Naftan
0-0
FC Minsk