Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.