Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Jun 10, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadion FK Minsk

FC Minsk
2 - 1
Smorgon

Dusheuski (24'), Martynov (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rassadkin (85')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between FC Minsk and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Minsk

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 1-0 FC Minsk
Friday, June 2 at 6.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Energetik-BGU
Saturday, June 3 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.

Result
FC MinskDrawSmorgon
48.8% (-0.058 -0.06)25.27% (0.108 0.11)25.93% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (-0.374 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (-0.47 -0.47)51.1% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (-0.415 -0.41)72.95% (0.41499999999999 0.41)
FC Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.214 -0.21)20.96% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (-0.339 -0.34)53.71% (0.339 0.34)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)34.4% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.315 -0.32)71.11% (0.315 0.31)
Score Analysis
    FC Minsk 48.79%
    Smorgon 25.93%
    Draw 25.27%
FC MinskDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.93%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 10am
gameweek 30
Smorgon
1-0
FC Minsk
Nuradin (25')
Frantsev (45'), Zadi Zokou (62'), Camara (68')
Jul 2, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
FC Minsk
2-2
Smorgon
Aliseiko (2'), Muniru (72')
Zadi Zokou (43'), Senkevich (45+1')
Savostyanov (49'), Ignatenko (90')