Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 8
May 14, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadyen Nyoman

Neman
3 - 1
Smorgon

Pantya (17'), Pavlykovets (47'), Kravtsov (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gaevoy (87')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Neman and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Neman

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 1-3 Neman
Saturday, May 6 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: Smorgon 1-0 Naftan
Sunday, May 7 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
NemanDrawSmorgon
61.82% (0.167 0.17)21.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)16.4% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 48.9% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.19 0.19)48.09% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.175 0.18)70.25% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Neman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.11800000000001 0.12)15.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (0.22 0.22)43.5% (-0.216 -0.22)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.83% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Neman 61.81%
    Smorgon 16.4%
    Draw 21.77%
NemanDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 61.81%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.4%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
gameweek 23
Neman
5-0
Smorgon
Yakimov (41'), Sadovnichiy (47'), Dzhigero (52'), Gribovski (60'), Suchkov (78')
Kantaria (8'), Sadovnichiy (55'), Sukurov (68')

Pavlyuchek (38'), Bondarenko (45+1'), Savostyanov (45+2')
May 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 8
Smorgon
0-2
Neman

Aziz Dao (7'), Yatskevich (17'), Shtygel (66'), Zadi Zokou (73')
Aziz Dao (42')
Zubovich (54'), Dzhigero (84')
Gavrilovich (18'), Zubovich (29'), Kantaria (32'), Leshko (34'), Kouadio (77')