Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.