Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
