Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.74%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.