Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.