Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Gomel had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Gomel win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.