Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gomel win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.