Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.