Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.