Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.