Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.