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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Alcufer Stadion

Neman
2 - 0
Balzan

Savitskiy (55'), Karpovich (85')
Sadovnichiy (45+3'), Parkhomenko (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olawale (45+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neman and Balzan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Neman

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sutjeska Niksic 0-0 Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Next Game: Soligorsk vs. Neman
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Belarusian Premier League

Balzan

All competitions
Last Game: Sutjeska Niksic 0-0 Santa Coloma
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Balzan had a probability of 25.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Balzan win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
NemanDrawBalzan
48.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.11%25.87%
Both teams to score 49.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.42% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)75.79% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Neman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)22.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Balzan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)73.03% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Neman 48.01%
    Balzan 25.87%
    Draw 26.11%
NemanDrawBalzan
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 48.01%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Neman vs Balzan

Neman
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Balzan
14.3%
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