Domzale
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Sportni Park

Domzale
1 - 4
Balzan

Kovacevic (57' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Andrejic (8'), Grech (44' pen.), Olawale (53'), Zerjal (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between NK Domzale and Balzan.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Domzale 1-2 Rosenborg
Tuesday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Domzale 1-0 Balzan
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Balzan had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Balzan win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NK DomzaleDrawBalzan
43.63% (-0.067 -0.07)24.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.26% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
NK Domzale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)19.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)51.63% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Balzan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.043999999999997 0.04)25.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.060000000000002 0.06)60.29% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    NK Domzale 43.63%
    Balzan 32.26%
    Draw 24.1%
NK DomzaleDrawBalzan
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Domzale vs Balzan

NK Domzale
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Balzan
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2019 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round
Domzale
1-0
Balzan
Vuk (21')
(0')
Jul 11, 2019 5.30pm
First Qualifying Round
Balzan
3-4
Domzale
Correa (34'), Ljubomirac (37'), Effiong (56')
Bozovic (3'), Sljivic (63'), Bezzina (69')
Bezzina (5' pen.), Vuk (48'), Sikosek (61'), Podlogar (75')
Dobrovoljc (44'), Vuk (71')