Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Neman had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Neman win it was 1-0 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.