Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Neman had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Neman win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
Neman	Draw	Celje
31.1% ( -0.37)	27.55% ( -0.1)	41.34% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 48.24% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.71% (

0.27)

57.28% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

0.22)

78.12% (

-0.22)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

-0.12)

33.67% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

-0.13)

70.32% (

0.13)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.39)

27.26% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

0.5)

62.7% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Neman 31.1%

Celje 41.34%

Draw 27.54%

Neman	Draw	Celje
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.1%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.34%