UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Celje

(4-4 on aggregate)

Silva (35'), Silva (41'), Tounkara (43'), Fernandes (90+2')

FT
(aet)

Bajde (65')
Bobicanec (18'), Zec (20'), Vuklisevic (35'), Zabukovnik (45+3'), Edmilson (96'), Bizjak (110'), Rozman (119')

Celje win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Celje.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Celje 3-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Celje

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Celje 5-0 NS Mura
Sunday, July 30 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Celje had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Celje
46.95% ( 0.01)	26% ( -0.01)	27.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

0.01)

53.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.01)

74.78% (

-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.01)

22.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.02)

56.29% (

-0.02)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

-0)

34.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

-0)

71.35% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.95%

Celje 27.05%

Draw 26%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Celje
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.05%