Champions League header

Champions League

Celje
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round
Aug 26, 2020 at 5pm UK
Szusza Ferenc Stadion
Molde logo

Celje
1 - 2
Molde

Lotric (38')
Lotric (2'), Marandici (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hussain (57'), James (74')
Holmgren Pedersen (23')
Coverage of the Champions League Second Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Molde.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Celje had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
CeljeDrawMolde
34.42%25.27%40.31%
Both teams to score 56.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84%47.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61%69.39%
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.6%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.11%
Score Analysis
    Celje 34.42%
    Molde 40.31%
    Draw 25.26%
CeljeDrawMolde
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.79%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.31%