Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Gil Vicente logo

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Silva (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Boavista
Friday, May 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
44.96% (0.152 0.15)25.29% (0.013000000000002 0.01)29.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.55% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.135 -0.13)48.86% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.122 -0.12)70.96% (0.124 0.12)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.72% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.184 -0.18)30.31% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.22 -0.22)66.49% (0.221 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.96%
    Gil Vicente 29.74%
    Draw 25.29%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.05% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente

Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 9.15pm
gameweek 16
Gil Vicente
2-1
Guimaraes
Alipour (40'), Navarro (82')
Marin (6'), Carvalho (48')
Silva (17')
Bamba (29'), Fernandes (43'), Silva (48')
Silva (65')
May 15, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 34
Guimaraes
5-0
Gil Vicente
Estupinan (20'), Lameiras (51'), Janvier (83'), Quaresma (84'), Duarte (90')
Silva (47')
Jan 10, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 17
Gil Vicente
3-2
Guimaraes
Navarro (21', 53'), Leautey (75')
Navarro (32'), Frelih (86')
Luz (79'), Edwards (87' pen.)
Andre (25'), Silva (32'), Edwards (64'), Borevkovic (72')
Edwards (90+1')
Mar 14, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 23
Guimaraes
2-4
Gil Vicente
Rochinha (40'), Lameiras (79')
Fernandes (7'), Suliman (32'), Andre (83')
Mumin (15')
Marques (19'), Lourency (26'), Talocha (45+2' pen.), Silva (80')
Talocha (31'), Nogueira (51'), Ricardo Soares Ribeiro (64'), Silva (90+1')
Nov 1, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 6
Gil Vicente
1-2
Guimaraes
Lino (66')
Fernandes (61')
Duarte (23'), Rochinha (90')
Varela (52'), Luis (82')