Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
10.45% ( 0.01) | 16.71% ( 0.01) | 72.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.89% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( -0.02) | 39.2% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% ( -0.02) | 61.53% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.24% | 81.76% ( 0) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( -0.01) | 9.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% ( -0.02) | 31.57% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.45% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.71% | 0-2 @ 12.09% 0-1 @ 10.21% 0-3 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |