Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros
  • goal David Neres 45'+3'
  • goal Joao Mario 50'
  • goal David Neres 57'

Maritimo vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 0 Maritimo
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Andre Vidigal

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Mar 3, 2023 9.15pm
Benfica 2 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Goncalo Ramos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

Maritimo 8.38% (+0.09)
Draw 15.73% (+0.17)
Benfica 75.89% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.71% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.64% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 41.36% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 36.25% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 63.75% (+0.48)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5 48.13% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 51.87% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 14.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 85.92% (+0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 90.81% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 9.19% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 68.87% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 31.13% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Maritimo 8.38%
Draw 15.73%
Benfica 75.89%
Maritimo
1-0 @ 3.13% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 8.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.47% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.77% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.73%
Benfica
0-2 @ 13.58% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 11.38% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 10.8% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 6.45% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 4.23% (-0.06)
0-5 @ 3.08% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.02% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 75.89%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Rafa Silva 28' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 47' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 64' goal
  • David Neres 82' goal
  • Julian Draxler 88' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Edgar Costa 41' yellowcard
  • Claudio Winck 42' redcard
  • Ali Alipour 79' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 2'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 70'
  • yellowcard Paulo Bernardo 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 19, 2021 5.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Darwin Nunez 3' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 7' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 18' goal
  • Gilberto 34' goal
  • Rafa Silva 48' goal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 57' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 86' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ivan Rossi 16'
  • yellowcard Edgar Costa 45'+1'
  • goal Ali Alipour 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 21' goal
  • Julian Weigl 23' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rene 38'
  • yellowcard Claudio Winck 38'
  • yellowcard Pedro Pelagio 79'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Nov 30, 2020 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rodrigo Pinho 14' goal
  • goal Pizzi 32'
  • goal Everton 51'
  • yellowcard Everton 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Jun 29, 2020 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Maritimo
  • Fabio China 45' yellowcard
  • Dejan Kerkez 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 64' yellowcard
  • Jorge Correa 74' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 78' goal
  • yellowcard Andre Almeida 32'