Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
8.38% ( 0.08) | 15.73% ( 0.16) | 75.89% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 43.71% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.64% ( -0.47) | 41.36% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.25% ( -0.48) | 63.75% ( 0.48) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.13% ( -0.12) | 51.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.08% ( -0.08) | 85.92% ( 0.08) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.81% ( -0.17) | 9.19% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.87% ( -0.42) | 31.13% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.38% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.73% | 0-2 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 75.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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