Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 2
Porto

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wendell (50'), Galeno (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Porto
9.17% ( 0)	18.08% ( 0.18)	72.75% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 39.4% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.81% (

-0.73)

49.19% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75% (

-0.66)

71.25% (

0.67)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.82% (

-0.46)

55.18% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.01% (

-0.28)

87.99% (

0.28)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

-0.26)

12.09% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

-0.55)

37.64% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 9.17%

Porto 72.74%

Draw 18.08%

Maritimo	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 9.17%	1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.4% Total : 18.08%	0-2 @ 14.89% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 72.74%