Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
9.17% ( 0) | 18.08% ( 0.18) | 72.75% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 39.4% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% ( -0.73) | 49.19% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% ( -0.66) | 71.25% ( 0.67) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.82% ( -0.46) | 55.18% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.01% ( -0.28) | 87.99% ( 0.28) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.91% ( -0.26) | 12.09% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.36% ( -0.55) | 37.64% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 9.17% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.4% Total : 18.08% | 0-2 @ 14.89% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 72.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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