Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 39.47% ( | 28.95% | 31.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( | 62.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( | 81.78% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( | 30.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.35% ( | 72.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2% Total : 31.57% |