Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.