Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 3, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Casa Pia

Xadas (11')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clayton (18'), Lelo (71' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Casa Pia
40.05% ( 0.13)	27.28% ( -0.06)	32.67% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.52% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1% (

0.21)

55.9% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23% (

0.17)

77.01% (

-0.17)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

0.17)

27.33% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

0.22)

62.78% (

-0.22)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

0.06)

31.86% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.07)

68.3% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 40.04%

Casa Pia 32.67%

Draw 27.28%

Maritimo	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.67%