Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Gil Vicente

Andrade (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (48', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Gil Vicente
39% ( 0.28)	27.7% ( -0.25)	33.3% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.65% (

0.9)

57.34% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.83% (

0.71)

78.17% (

-0.71)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

0.59)

28.61% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

0.74)

64.41% (

-0.74)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

0.44)

32.16% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

0.49)

68.65% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 38.99%

Gil Vicente 33.29%

Draw 27.7%

Maritimo	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.29%