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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Nacional
Porto
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Maritimo

Porto
5 - 1
Maritimo

Taremi (12', 42'), Evanilson (40'), Marcano (68'), Martinez (76')
Uribe (28'), Marcano (35'), Galeno (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Winck (88')
Joel (28'), Teles (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
    Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
    Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

    Maritimo

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
      Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.96%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

      Result
      PortoDrawMaritimo
      79.56% (0.066999999999993 0.07)13.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)6.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
      Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      64.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      42.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
      Porto Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      92.92% (0.012 0.01)7.07% (-0.016100000000001 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      74.19% (0.038000000000011 0.04)25.81% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
      Maritimo Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      48.47% (-0.107 -0.11)51.52% (0.102 0.1)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      14.3% (-0.07 -0.07)85.69% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
      Score Analysis
          Porto 79.55%
          Maritimo 6.96%
          Draw 13.47%
      PortoDrawMaritimo
      2-0 @ 12.78% (0.02 0.02)
      3-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
      1-0 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
      3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      4-0 @ 7.48% (0.023 0.02)
      4-1 @ 4.96%
      5-0 @ 3.96% (0.016 0.02)
      5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
      6-0 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      6-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 3.82%
      Total : 79.55%
      		1-1 @ 6.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 3.65%
      2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
      Other @ 0.61%
      Total : 13.47%
      		0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
      Other @ 2.42%
      Total : 6.96%

      How you voted: Porto vs Maritimo

      Porto
      97.2%
      Draw
      2.8%
      Maritimo
      0.0%
      36
      Head to Head
      Jan 30, 2022 8.30pm
      Porto
      2-1
      Maritimo
      Evanilson (18'), Pepe (48')
      Otavio (45'), Wendell (69'), Mario (78'), Grujic (79')
      Costa (53')
      Vidigal (31'), Costa (43'), Costa (51'), Winck (57'), Guitane (82')
      Aug 22, 2021 6pm
      Maritimo
      1-1
      Porto
      Xadas (45+4')
      Costa (14'), de Mello Costa (59'), Pelagio (67'), Winck (90+1')
      Diaz (35')
      Taremi (62')
      Feb 22, 2021 7pm
      Maritimo
      1-2
      Porto
      Andrade (18')
      Hermes (32'), Joel (69'), Pelagio (71'), Jean (86'), Abedzadeh (87'), Junior (90+4')
      Uribe (14'), Otavio (90+3' pen.)
      Manafa (32'), Marchesin (83')
      Oct 3, 2020 6.30pm
      Porto
      2-3
      Maritimo
      Pepe (42'), Otavio (90+9')
      Mbemba (52'), Pepe (82')
      Pinho (24', 52'), Nanu (90+4')
      Pinho (45+2'), Kibe (73'), Costa (87'), Pelagio (90+5')
      Jun 10, 2020 9.30pm
      Porto
      1-0
      Maritimo
      Corona (6')
      Manafa (57'), Telles (61'), Uribe (90+4')
      Telles (85')

      Moreno (19'), Bebeto (36'), Milson (78')
      rhs 2.0


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