| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 49.69% | 25.38% | 24.93% |
| Both teams to score 50.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% | 52.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% | 73.96% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% | 53.85% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% | 35.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% | 72.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.93% |