Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 11, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
4 - 1
Santa Clara

Joel (18' pen.), Henrique (38'), Costa (60'), Guitane (69' pen.)
Andrade (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Andrade (1' og.)
Nene (48'), Mansur (68'), Carvalho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Santa Clara
36.73%	29.2%	34.07%

Both teams to score 44.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.44%

62.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85%

82.15%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41%

32.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87%

69.14%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93%

71.07%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 36.73%

Santa Clara 34.06%

Draw 29.2%

Maritimo	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 7.04% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.73%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.2%	0-1 @ 11.96% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.06%