Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 1
Benfica

Costa (41'), Alipour (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nunez (2')
Otamendi (45+2'), Weigl (45+6'), Ramos (70'), Bernardo (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71
4	Braga	32	20	62

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Benfica
27.18%	24.37%	48.45%

Both teams to score 55.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61%

46.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.32%

68.68%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.2%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78%

19.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08%

50.92%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 27.18%

Benfica 48.45%

Draw 24.37%

Maritimo	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.98% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.18%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.45%