Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 9, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 0
Maritimo

Butzke (9'), Santos (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Joel (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Maritimo
41.36%	27.16%	31.47%

Both teams to score 49.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.27%

55.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13%

76.86%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47%

26.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26%

61.73%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4%

32.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86%

69.13%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 41.36%

Maritimo 31.47%

Draw 27.16%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.36%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.47%