Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 3
Tondela

Alves (33' og.)
Andrade (11'), Rossi (40'), Joel (45')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Agra (12' pen.), Barbosa (86'), Dantas (90+6')
Undabarrena (17'), Hernando (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Tondela
46.6%	26.05%	27.35%

Both teams to score 50.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76%

53.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2%

74.8%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17%

22.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45%

56.54%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61%

34.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.9%

71.1%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 46.59%

Tondela 27.35%

Draw 26.04%

Maritimo	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.35%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Tondela

Maritimo

60.0%

Draw

40.0%

Tondela

0.0%

Head to Head

Nov 7, 2021 2pm

Tondela

4-2

Maritimo

Pedro (15' pen., 20' pen., 43' pen.), Augusto (90+9')
Undabarrena (30'), Trigueira (59'), Almeida (85')

Costa (75'), Alipour (90+1')
Andrade (11'), Costa (16'), Junior (19'), China (47'), Costa (61'), Costa (69'), Joel (90+2'), Xadas (90+8')
Pelagio (41')

Feb 16, 2021 5.45pm

Tondela

2-1

Maritimo

Murillo (22'), Gonzalez (52')
Grau (30'), Olabe (77'), Augusto (87'), Trigueira (90+2')

Joel (45')
Soderstrom (16'), Guitane (27'), Africo (71'), Sassa (74'), Costa (87')

Sep 26, 2020 3.30pm

Maritimo

2-1

Tondela

Pinho (34', 45')
Jean (27'), Hermes (65'), Costa (67'), Winck (85')
China (41')

Augusto Borges da Costa (43')
Bebeto (46'), Pedro (60')