Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 8, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
3 - 0
Tondela

Fujimoto (56'), Lino (63', 76')
Fujimoto (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barbosa (66'), Undabarrena (90')
Alves (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Tondela
61.78% ( 0.02)	21.4% ( -0.01)	16.82% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

0.02)

45.74% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

0.02)

68.06% (

-0.02)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.74% (

0.01)

14.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.96% (

0.02)

42.05% (

-0.02)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.49% (

40.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88% (

-0)

77.12% (

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 61.77%

Tondela 16.82%

Draw 21.39%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 61.77%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.39%	0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.82%