Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 2, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Mata Real

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Tondela

Silva (90+2')
Ferreira (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Agra (32')
Pedro (9'), Bebeto (14'), Augusto (45+2'), Trigueira (85'), Sagnan (89')
Sagnan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Tondela
48.01%	26.06%	25.92%

Both teams to score 49.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82%

54.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41%

75.59%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82%

56.18%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15%

72.85%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 48.01%

Tondela 25.92%

Draw 26.05%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.92%