Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Sarabia (20' pen.), Santos (72')
Palhinha (45+4'), Sarabia (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferreira (18'), Baixinho (53'), Antunes (56'), Delgado (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	34	64	91
2	Sporting Lisbon	33	47	82
3	Benfica	33	47	71

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
68.05%	19.72%	12.23%

Both teams to score 44.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92%

70.08%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.94%

13.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.36%

39.64%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.54%

48.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.43%

83.57%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 68.04%

Pacos de Ferreira 12.23%

Draw 19.72%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.11% 1-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 4.53% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 68.04%	1-1 @ 9.33% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.58% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.61% Total : 12.23%