Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.