Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Porto

(Porto win 3-1 on aggregate)

Sarabia (49')
Paulinho (33'), Adan (56'), Coates (57'), Slimani (90+1'), Reis (90+4'), Porro (90+8'), Amorim (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taremi (59' pen.), Evanilson (64')
Marchesin (78'), Vitinha (80'), Pepe (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
35.96%	24.59%	39.45%

Both teams to score 59.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18%

43.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79%

66.21%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01%

23.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76%

58.24%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82%

22.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42%

55.58%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 35.96%

Porto 39.45%

Draw 24.58%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.04% Total : 35.96%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 4.32% 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.45%