Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 73.23% | 17.7% | 9.07% |
| Both teams to score 40.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% | 47.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% | 70.05% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.41% | 11.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.44% | 36.56% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.46% | 54.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.4% | 87.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 2-0 @ 14.67% 1-0 @ 13.61% 3-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 6.39% 4-0 @ 5.68% 4-1 @ 3.45% 5-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.04% Total : 73.21% | 1-1 @ 8.26% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 2.7% Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.7% | 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 2.5% 0-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 9.07% |