Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Estoril

Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estoril Praia
57.51%	22.75%	19.74%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.96%

47.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72%

69.28%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91%

16.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51%

45.49%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3%

74.71%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 57.5%

Estoril Praia 19.74%

Draw 22.75%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.5%	1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.74%