Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 11, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Vieira (38'), Taremi (78')
Pepe (42'), Otavio (45'), Vieira (82'), Pepe (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Paulinho (8'), Santos (34')
Reis (1'), Coates (27'), Esgaio (45'), Paulinho (54'), Santos (63'), Palhinha (71')
Coates (49'), Tabata (90+10'), Palhinha (90+10')

Reaction

Porto's Fabio Vieira celebrates scoring their first goal with Joao Mario on February 11, 2022

Manchester United 'scout Porto vs. Sporting Lisbon match'

Manchester United reportedly had scouts in attendance for Friday's Primeira Liga showdown between Porto and Sporting Lisbon.

Feb 14, 09:31

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
44.35%	24.65%	30.99%

Both teams to score 57.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53%

45.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19%

67.81%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41%

20.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87%

53.13%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25%

27.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68%

63.33%

Score Analysis

Porto 44.35%

Sporting Lisbon 30.99%

Draw 24.65%

Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.15% 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.35%	1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.99%