Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
0 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Bukia (49'), Galovic (64'), Pite (80'), Quaresma (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gaitan (33')
Carlos (16'), Ferreira (59'), Djalo (67'), Ferreira (78'), Butzke (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vizela	33	-18	33
15	Arouca	33	-22	31
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
35.93%	30.01%	34.07%

Both teams to score 42.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.86%

65.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.01%

83.99%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25%

35.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48%

72.52%

Score Analysis

Arouca 35.92%

Pacos de Ferreira 34.06%

Draw 30%

Arouca	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.32% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 30%	0-1 @ 12.67% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.04% Total : 34.06%