Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 14, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal

Arouca
0 - 3
Maritimo

Ba (17'), Nunes (25')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Alipour (7', 79'), Joel (27')
Henrique (47'), Costa (51'), Alipour (80')
Henrique (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Maritimo
35.63%	27.85%	36.53%

Both teams to score 48.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.33%

57.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57%

78.43%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.19%

30.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92%

67.08%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59%

66.41%

Score Analysis

Arouca 35.63%

Maritimo 36.53%

Draw 27.84%

Arouca	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.63%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.53%