Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Porto

Arouca
0 - 2
Porto


Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 6.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.08%) and 0-1 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
6.29%13.51%80.21%
Both teams to score 40.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07%38.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75%61.25%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.23%55.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.67%88.33%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.36%7.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.71%27.29%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 6.29%
    Porto 80.19%
    Draw 13.51%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 2.49%
2-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 6.29%
1-1 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.26%
2-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 13.51%
0-2 @ 14.09%
0-3 @ 12.08%
0-1 @ 10.95%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-4 @ 7.77%
1-3 @ 7.06%
1-4 @ 4.54%
0-5 @ 4%
1-5 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-6 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.33%
1-6 @ 1%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 80.19%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca
9.7%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
90.3%
31
rhs 2.0


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