-
Eugeni Valderrama
9'
-
Armando Evangelista
45'+4'
-
Vitor Oliveira 5'
-
Vitor Oliveira 12'
-
Vitor Oliveira 26'
-
Yan Couto 54'
-
Iuri Medeiros 71'
-
Lucas Mineiro 72'
-
Roger Fernandes 74'
-
Roger Fernandes 80'
Arouca vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result
Arouca
24.96%
Draw
25.42%
Braga
49.61%
Both Teams to Score:
50.5%
Goals
Over 2.5
47.57%
Under 2.5
52.43%
Over 3.5
25.89%
Under 3.5
74.11%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
64.05%
Under 0.5
35.95%
Over 1.5
27.27%
Under 1.5
72.73%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5
78.85%
Under 0.5
21.15%
Over 1.5
46%
Under 1.5
54%
Score analysis
Arouca
24.96%
Draw
25.42%
Braga
49.61%
Arouca
1-0
@
7.78%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.96%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.96%
Draw
1-1
@
12.08%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.42%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.42%
Braga
0-1
@
11.81%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.18%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 49.61%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.18%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 49.61%