Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 30, 2021 7.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Eugeni Valderrama 9' yellowcard
  • Armando Evangelista 45'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 5'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 12'
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 26'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 54'
  • goal Iuri Medeiros 71'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mineiro 72'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 74'
  • goal Roger Fernandes 80'

Arouca vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Portimonense 1 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Andre Silva

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2021 9.00pm
Braga 1 - 0 Belenenses
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result

Arouca 24.96%
Draw 25.42%
Braga 49.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.57%
Under 2.5 52.43%
Over 3.5 25.89%
Under 3.5 74.11%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 64.05%
Under 0.5 35.95%
Over 1.5 27.27%
Under 1.5 72.73%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 78.85%
Under 0.5 21.15%
Over 1.5 46%
Under 1.5 54%

Score analysis

Arouca 24.96%
Draw 25.42%
Braga 49.61%
Arouca
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.42%
Braga
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 9.18%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.75%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 49.61%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Mar 4, 2017 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rui Fonte 12' goal
  • Nikola Vukcevic 53' yellowcard
  • Rui Fonte 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kuca 15'
  • goal Mateus 17'
  • yellowcard Nuno Valente 27'
  • yellowcard Walter Gonzalez 75'
  • yellowcard Nelsinho 83'
Primeira Liga
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nuno Valente 11' yellowcard
  • Thiago Carleto 28' yellowcard
  • Walter Gonzalez 85' goal
  • Rafael Crivellaro 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djavan 22'
  • yellowcard Lazar Rosic 39'
  • goal Pedro Santos 49'
  • yellowcard Matheus Matheus 84'
Primeira Liga
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Filho Adilson 54' yellowcard
  • Gege 56' yellowcard
  • Artur Bernardes 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto Carvalho Souza 40'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 56'
  • redcard Rui Fonte 57'
  • redcard Djavan 64'
Primeira Liga
Oct 4, 2015 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Goiano 59' yellowcard
  • Djavan Ferreira 65' yellowcard
  • Willy Boly 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artur Moreira 40'
  • yellowcard Hugo Basto 58'
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 70'
  • yellowcard Nuno Valente 83'
  • yellowcard Tomas Dabo 92'