Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
| 45.1% | 27.75% | 27.14% |
| Both teams to score 45.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% | 79.91% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% | 26.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% | 61.49% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% | 74.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.99% Total : 45.1% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.14% |