Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Vizela |
| 36.97% | 27.15% | 35.89% |
| Both teams to score 50.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% | 54.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% | 76.23% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% | 28.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% | 64.46% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% | 29.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% | 65.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.88% |