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Belenenses
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
Arouca

Belenenses
2 - 1
Arouca

Varela (73'), Camara (90+3')
Phete (11'), Sithole (45+2'), Sousa (53'), Calila (57'), Nuno (65'), Safira (70'), Tavares (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dabbagh (37')
Nunes (43'), Dabbagh (59')
Silva (6'), Dabbagh (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
BelenensesDrawArouca
18.25%23.22%58.53%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99%51.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12%72.88%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09%41.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64%78.36%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86%17.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.62%47.38%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 18.25%
    Arouca 58.53%
    Draw 23.21%
BelenensesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-1 @ 4.79%
2-0 @ 2.72%
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.25%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 12.67%
0-2 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-3 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 5.71%
0-4 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.53%

How you voted: Belenenses vs Arouca

Belenenses
39.0%
Draw
34.1%
Arouca
26.8%
41
rhs 2.0


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