Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Arouca |
| 39.95% | 28.02% | 32.04% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.26% | 58.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.73% | 79.27% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% | 64.57% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.23% | 33.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.57% | 70.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.03% |