Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 35.19% | 26.62% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.12% | 52.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% | 74.49% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% | 28.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% | 64.55% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% | 26.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% | 62.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.19% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.19% |